DEPENDENCE OF THE CELEBRAL APOPLEXY MOBIDITY RATE OF THE PRODUCTIVE AGE POPULATION ON THE PERFORMANCE OF THE WASTE INCINERATION PLANT

Abstract

Flue gases of the incineration plants is a complex multicomponent mixture of 27 components, which may cause the diseases of respiratory system and blood circulation, in particular, cerebral apoplexy. Determination of the regression dependence of the cerebral apoplexy morbidity rate of the population of the productive age on the performance of incineration plant, which can be used for the prediction of such morbidity rate is an  important  scientific-engineering task.

Aim of the research is the construction by means of the regression analysis the regressional dependence of the cerebral apoplexy morbidity rate indices of the working age population on the performance of the incineration plant, these dependences can be used for the prediction of the morbidity indices. In the process of the study the method of regressional analysis of the results of single-factor experiments and other paired dependences with the selection of the most adequate type of function from the  sixteen most widely used variants by the criterion of maximum value of the correlation coefficient was used. Regression was carried out on the base of the linearized transformations, which allow to reduce nonlinear dependence to linear dependence. Determination of the coefficients of the regression equations was performed, applying the method of the least squares by means of the developed computer program "RegAnaliz".

Regressional dependence of the disease prevalence among the population of the productive age on the performance of the incineration plant was obtained, the dependence can be used for the prediction of the morbidity indices. Graphic dependence of the cerebral apoplexy morbidity prevalence of the working age population on the performance of the incineration plant was constructed, this dependence allows to illustrate the sufficient coincidence of theoretical results with actual results. It is established that the cerebral apoplexy prevalence of the working age population increases with the performance growth of the incineration plant by exponential law.