REGRESSION DEPENDENCE OF THE RESPIRATORY ORGANS DISEASES MORBIDITY RATE ON THE WASTE INCINERATION PLANT EFFICIENCY

Abstract

Flue gases of the waste incineration plants can cause the diseases of the respiratory system, as these gases represent complex multicomponent mixture, comprising 27 ingredients. That is why, determination of the regression dependence of the population total morbidity rate of the respiratory organs diseases on the efficiency of the waste incineration plant, that can be used for the prediction of the morbidity rate, is an important scientific-technical problem.

Objective of the research is the construction by means of the regression analysis the regression dependence of the population total morbidity rate of the respiratory organs diseases on the efficiency of the waste incineration plant, which can be used for the prediction of the morbidity rate of this disease. In the process of the research the method of regression analysis of the results of single-factor experiments and other paired dependences with the selection of the most adequate type of function from the sixteen most common variants by the criterion of maximum value of the correlation coefficient was used.

Regression was carried out on the base of the linearizing transformations, enabling to reduce this dependence to linear one. Determination of the coefficients of the regression equations was performed, applying the methods of the least squares, using the developed computer program "RegAnaliz". Regression dependence of the propagation of the total morbidity rate of the respiratory organs diseases on the efficiency of the waste incineration plant was obtained, this dependence can be used for the prediction of the indices of such disease. Graphic dependence of the propagation of the total morbidity rate of the population on the diseases of the respiratory organs diseases on the efficiency of the incineration plant was constructed, it enables to illustrate this dependence and show the sufficient coincidence of the theoretical results and actual ones. It was established that the propagation of the total morbidity rate of the respiratory organs diseases increases exponentially with the increase of the production efficiency of the incineration plant.