DEPENDENCE OF GENERAL ALLERGIC RHINITS INCIDENCE OF THE POPULATION ON THE PERFORMANCE OF THE INCINERATION PLANT

Abstract

Allergic rhinitis incidence may be caused by the pollution of the environment, in particular, by flue gases of the incineration plants, this gas is a mixture of 27 components. Determination of the regression dependence of general allergic rhinitis incidence of the population on the performance of the incineration plant is a relevant scientific engineering problem as it can be used for the prediction of such incidence rate.

Objective of the research is the construction by means of regressive analysis the regressional dependence of general allergic rhinitis incidence rate of the population on the performance of the incineration plant, this dependence can be used for the prediction of the incidence rate. In the process of studies the method of regression analysis of the results of single-factor experiments and other paired dependences with the selection of the most adequate type of function from sixteen most widely used variants by the criterion of maximum values of the correlation coefficient was used. Regression was performed on the base of the linearized transformations, which enable to reduce non-linear dependence to linear one. Determination of the coefficients of the regression equations was performed, applying the method of the least squares by means of the developed computer program "RegAnaliz".

Regression dependence of the allergic rhinitis prevalence rate on the performance of the incineration plant was obtained, it can be used for the prediction of the incidence rate of the disease. Graphic dependence of the allergic rhinitis prevalence rate of the population on the performance of the incineration plant was constructed, it enables to illustrate the dependence and show the sufficient coincidence of the theoretical results with actual data. It is established that the allergic rhinitis prevalence rate of the population increases with the growth of the incineration plant performance in power dependence.