IMPACT OF POPULATION INCOMES ON THE VOLUME OF MUNICIPAL SOLID WASTE FORMATION IN UKRAINE

Abstract

Annual volume of municipal solid waste formation on the territory of Ukraine, according to statistical data, exceeds 54 mil. m³, creating serious threat for the ecological safety. That is why, determination of the regression dependence, describing the impact of the population incomes on the volumes of municipal solid waste formation in Ukraine is an important scientific-technical task. Aim of the research is determination of the regression dependence, which describes the impact of the population incomes on the volume of municipal solid waste formation in Ukraine and can be used for the prediction of such volumes.

In the course of the research method of regression analysis of the results of single factor experiments and other paired dependences was used with the selection of the rational type of function from sixteen most widely spread variants by the criterion of maximum values of the correlation factor. Regression was performed on the base of linearized transformations, which allow to reduce the non-linear dependence to linear one. Determination of the coefficients of the regression equations was carried out, applying the method of the least squares by means of the developed computer program "RegAnaliz", protected by the Certificate of the State registration of the right to the copyright object.

Adequate regression dependence, describing the impact of the population incomes on the volumes of the municipal solid waste formation in Ukraine was obtained, it can be used for the prediction of these volumes. Graphical dependence, describing the impact of the population incomes on the volumes of municipal solid waste, being formed in Ukraine was constructed, it enables to illustrate this dependence and shows the sufficient coincidence of the theoretical results with the actual data. It has been established that the volumes of municipal solid waste formation in Ukraine grow with the increase of the incomes of the population in accordance with the hyperbolic dependence.