DEPENDENCE OF GENERAL INCIDENCE OF BRONCHIAL ASTHMA ON ANNUAL PERFORMANCE OF THE INCINERATION PLANT

Abstract

Bronchial asthma can be caused by the pollution of the environment, in particular, with flue gases of the incineration plants, Flue gas represents compound mixture of 27 components, that is why, the determination of the regression dependence of the population incidence of bronchial asthma on the performance of the incineration plant is relevant scientific-technical problem, which can be used for the prediction of the incidence of the disease. The objective of the research is the construction, by means of regression analysis, the regression dependence of the indices of general incidence of bronchial asthma on the performance of the incineration plant, it can be used for the prediction of the incidence of the disease. In the process of research method of regression analysis of the results of single-factor experiments and other paired dependences with the selection of the most adequate type of function from sixteen most widely used variants by the criterion of maximum value of the correlation coefficient was used. Regression was performed on the base of linearized transformations, which enable to reduce non-linear dependence to linear one. Determination of the coefficients of regression equations was performed, using the method of the least squares by means of the developed computer program "RegAnaliz". Regression dependence of the general incidence of the population of bronchial asthma on the performance of the incineration plant was obtained, the dependence can be used for the prediction of the indices of the incidence of such disease. Graphic dependence of general incidence of the population of bronchial asthma on the performance of the incineration plant was constructed. It enables to illustrate this dependence and show the sufficient coincidence of the theoretical results with actual. It is established that the prevalence of general incidence of the population of bronchial asthma grows with the increase of the performance of the incineration plant according to hyperbolic dependence.